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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54231

Makedonikos Siatista VS Eordaikos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.70%
Draw
27.95%
Away
31.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7831
Log loss
1.2748

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
SHA-256
27464a25811275b0d1975e6cc80c2581010db1b87fc799b9853b3f3e7bc20381

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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