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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5409

Neratovice-Byškovice VS Čáslav

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:17 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.65%
Draw
33.23%
Away
28.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7766
Log loss
1.2689

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:17 UTC
SHA-256
9d06cd87d0add9599b3ad7cc12db1f0971631662bde787376a819bb801444135

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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