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Frozen pre-match forecast · #54005

Torrellano VS Vall de Uxó

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.02%
Draw
29.96%
Away
39.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5580
Log loss
0.9413

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
SHA-256
0e6d08ac005a50234cb63312c289ae8d8ed4fefae6b4d71119a5a7d666e47597

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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