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Frozen pre-match forecast · #53978

Brumov VS Sokol Lanžhot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.89%
Draw
22.92%
Away
50.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3729
Log loss
0.6894

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
SHA-256
333a98ddfcaed0b23bee9a050ea288b46c3fcad86a96dac608fdf5b181a38839

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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