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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5390

Skövde AIK VS Olympic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.78%
Draw
32.35%
Away
17.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3888
Log loss
0.6976

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
SHA-256
486e8e9891e30a36aa55e55509543eac5d8d13e50246ceb38a0a74d82615cc81

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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