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Frozen pre-match forecast · #53862

Berazategui VS Sacachispas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.25%
Draw
31.59%
Away
25.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4852
Log loss
0.8382

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:28 UTC
SHA-256
41f675169207509b92700f67ebb5269442b9804eefc26d7d967af94cfc422c20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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