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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5376

Septemvri Dragoevo VS Benkovski Isperih

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.75%
Draw
29.90%
Away
34.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7372
Log loss
1.2073

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
SHA-256
500235701ae2e7321674f8867f3ec41f592353f72b86dd5cce7ac8524280920f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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