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Frozen pre-match forecast · #53071

Mandalskameratene VS Odd II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.89%
Draw
19.14%
Away
18.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2179
Log loss
0.4799

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
SHA-256
120d3691d62d4d86c24b2b59a0cb9f01e7c72a2926d2840b5ecd8890c135ab0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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