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Frozen pre-match forecast · #53066

Stjørdals-Blink VS Ull/Kisa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.67%
Draw
13.60%
Away
9.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0824
Log loss
0.2657

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
SHA-256
25421d932642261303311c2a37fe4a47cfa7d6b5ae3027fb5480da4f43e77c62

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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