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Frozen pre-match forecast · #52997

SpVgg Unterhaching VS Eichstätt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.81%
Draw
23.21%
Away
16.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9762
Log loss
1.4607

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
SHA-256
4414d5fefae495d7032be5b4b9c6b15c27879337285ddb7b9f8f301a7fc2e7ac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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