Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #52693

Neudrossenfeld VS DJK Bamberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.03%
Draw
23.71%
Away
23.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9173
Log loss
1.4393

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:27 UTC
SHA-256
b0471d77f481a20937f09995f8c410d1269873df4c8355e056187bbfc4195281

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →