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Frozen pre-match forecast · #52558

Kawkab Marrakech VS Hassania Agadir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.67%
Draw
28.96%
Away
22.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9234
Log loss
1.4974

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
SHA-256
4e61b54cce67e5b78268b236f120374c39e9366b64d8b466688273bc06f8d335

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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