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Frozen pre-match forecast · #52360

Racing Club VS Boca Juniors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.23%
Draw
28.88%
Away
43.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4725
Log loss
0.8236

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
SHA-256
e8d76e44808986c094f21147cbcb894b5ddb340700a81f1f489dc9b150e5ebf2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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