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Frozen pre-match forecast · #52354

Olympique du Kef VS Ksour Essef

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.42%
Draw
26.35%
Away
26.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8361
Log loss
1.3337

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:26 UTC
SHA-256
0cc3c1ed95d683f0714b7685e420b027f4cbb1048c0f180a5485aa8c038b2e4a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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