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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5215

Strindheim VS Molde II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:13 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.18%
Draw
33.29%
Away
27.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

10 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5565
Log loss
0.9370

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:13 UTC
SHA-256
6e78731269d99e9c8dcbd56acdcb5656458f2e94168d904b0be1bafae54fb4fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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