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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5207

Stabæk W VS Brann W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:13 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.32%
Draw
32.62%
Away
50.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3858
Log loss
0.6919

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:13 UTC
SHA-256
6db58f55012d1cf511843042e39fa6381baf5d1ca5740a14b95091eff96e3536

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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