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Frozen pre-match forecast · #52003

Dartford VS Ramsgate

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.65%
Draw
23.04%
Away
24.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9032
Log loss
1.4143

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
24e5a400cbcb4bc9397d7a436bcdfbeaa613d877fecf6f8e09493e2a638f8c06

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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