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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51919

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.91%
Draw
28.27%
Away
38.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7735
Log loss
1.2634

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
078eeb53660aa49678e9cff603178aa9f7862db6bc4993c7ec9d9d410e2df5e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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