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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51561

Brattvåg VS Sotra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.97%
Draw
24.27%
Away
34.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5283
Log loss
0.8924

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
30801d748cec17d0f79c8cda961adc6924a5190b95723da3be9ef55887db6d10

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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