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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51556

Solingen-Wald VS Meerbusch

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.23%
Draw
22.66%
Away
24.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3282
Log loss
0.6305

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
b0425a00282b569788f207139f2f149e488254ed258b9b5f48b0a14436e6d227

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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