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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5141

Landsberg VS Ansbach

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:12 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.56%
Draw
38.48%
Away
23.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8675
Log loss
1.4291

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:12 UTC
SHA-256
655a64adcd162f0d8921feeb2469e14eb7b6a9b200bc60ccdbc86632a5256fcd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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