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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5134

Frem VS Sundby

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:12 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.13%
Draw
32.89%
Away
19.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9706
Log loss
1.6104

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:12 UTC
SHA-256
1e0be7b91af96eab74ff1bf714bee55bbcb03d47c14d2fe6c87c1c22c7e2642a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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