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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51291

Rana VS Eidsvold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.18%
Draw
21.27%
Away
57.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9977
Log loss
1.5521

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
f2d0b8a444ed3deddf140290f703b79d6b8b0d740e01e49034e00753fae24826

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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