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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51218

Bohemians 1905 II VS Písek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.47%
Draw
23.34%
Away
42.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8845
Log loss
1.4550

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
41507d300c7dbbebad8a3cbec727c0997601f09f2e18e0bc260b4f0c8d635687

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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