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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51102

Siwelele U23 VS Sekhukhune United U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.57%
Draw
21.91%
Away
24.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9049
Log loss
1.4060

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
991ee521012d50db3b598d1b52a58ee5e58d4b2316ba68d2f69d2835064e6bca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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