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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5093

Lysekloster VS Sandviken

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.57%
Draw
33.22%
Away
47.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4273
Log loss
0.7506

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
SHA-256
8af5c956a02bd56e560b1c492edbc231b5750cf285d0b7b06eb5709649223a74

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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