Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #50928

FC Lebbeke VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.10%
Draw
23.31%
Away
34.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5092
Log loss
0.8651

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
43024cd7eec4ceaa2f729c2f3f58a08e65913e0acd18f22b220e8406430f9b11

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →