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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5083

KuPS W VS HJK W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.23%
Draw
32.28%
Away
35.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6242
Log loss
1.0359

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
SHA-256
f65ff3dc7e295df69f478c46c83079fb00fbe2e6fa64dae315a11465536233bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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