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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50707

Poprad VS MSK Tesla Stropkov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.54%
Draw
25.02%
Away
28.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4294
Log loss
0.7650

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
565a50f56e56b1381ed37bb672f752f902de8ea98ec1fd263ac6b285b7c30b8c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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