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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5069

Ringsted VS Næsby

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.35%
Draw
33.33%
Away
46.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4407
Log loss
0.7697

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
SHA-256
834c9a653851cc67ff8ad8af0558869026ff6567ce3918ec57923436e29427b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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