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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50642

Solothurn VS Münsingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.58%
Draw
17.54%
Away
16.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1777
Log loss
0.4218

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
41c377d2e617b4edbc4737e5798b5abe259d40d3575349a665e673dbe4fd2cae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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