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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5057

Enskede W VS KIF Örebro W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.75%
Draw
32.78%
Away
53.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3429
Log loss
0.6260

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
SHA-256
bb42a8040249a0980088307fa08c6bee48d3d600235ae450987d581a83081851

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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