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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50522

Hořovicko VS Strakonice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.19%
Draw
22.89%
Away
27.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3885
Log loss
0.7095

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
3dd606e7f61ec4e688bbda85acbfa5b3b5474ee2c4dbaf58c032482c7b52e8cf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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