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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5052

Konnerud VS KFUM II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.62%
Draw
33.29%
Away
35.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6321
Log loss
1.0473

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:11 UTC
SHA-256
9b7bb9554985b79db6df79e8a7d0631f9b45d1815ad221349baa2b75cf758122

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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