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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50480

Inter Zapresic VS Bjelovar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.17%
Draw
24.92%
Away
36.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8456
Log loss
1.3895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:55 UTC
SHA-256
e0054cd287d351f2630d802e1af15dcf95ffe743c7c79b075b484482e7a5cfae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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