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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50104

Pécsi MFC VS Budafoki LC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.61%
Draw
17.27%
Away
11.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1228
Log loss
0.3339

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
SHA-256
4693f9dea4647a8e3fae27557855ac00040ef889a6c8fce4ce6d0a66d3455722

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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