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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50082

KoldingQ VS AGF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.98%
Draw
21.96%
Away
32.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4428
Log loss
0.7770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
SHA-256
dc001b75949f6cff8d537dc0c6e55be60d6d576c6d7e4979405f1b2a1bb07d9a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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