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Frozen pre-match forecast · #50049

Piteå W VS Norrköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.14%
Draw
24.83%
Away
25.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8791
Log loss
1.3931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
SHA-256
9dcb7db9e1cd245504de3246ee866a3245a2d90bd94be50c6a35dc8ade9e4e6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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