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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5000

Benešov VS Slavia III

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:10 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.02%
Draw
33.23%
Away
38.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5641
Log loss
0.9480

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:10 UTC
SHA-256
0958cfa90ea05e6c8c7e73c5f5d9ad377f54128fe4bd9e4752edbcee65010bc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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