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Frozen pre-match forecast · #49844

Gloggnitz VS Traiskirchen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.10%
Draw
22.29%
Away
47.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7650
Log loss
1.2007

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
SHA-256
4bbaf24e82fae510e395af3da064e2b4c1535ebb3246139e09679fb2c845b2a7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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