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Frozen pre-match forecast · #49603

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa VS Hapoel Acre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.87%
Draw
20.71%
Away
15.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1973
Log loss
0.4484

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:54 UTC
SHA-256
465b27140e1574179f98c2336eb5ef8f6e0c31412184df2962f3b582ea259f75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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