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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4916

Rathfriland VS Warrenpoint Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:08 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
75.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1250
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:08 UTC
SHA-256
625856b6130c161524e642a31b49f6b92605269748c5584c271cfcb1161a67af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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