Frozen pre-match forecast · #49083
Siero VS Ceares
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 43.32%
- Draw
- 26.67%
- Away
- 30.02%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4825
- Log loss
- 0.8367
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v3
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
- SHA-256
- 04d07ab9e8bb0751c96408338381e6f9f2b07db3f7ad50a05a6361663c7605a5
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.