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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48947

Sokol Zápy VS Baník Souš

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.58%
Draw
24.34%
Away
27.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3969
Log loss
0.7219

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
fc25c8d2d7926c72d5d8195e05a7dda59ae7a3acb1351282f1fe2afead28fefb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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