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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48945

Kolín VS Turnov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
21.95%
Away
39.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5604
Log loss
0.9258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
045e3571435c530fc7762eff6ddf646c9eb214ed82de695b851ca125ecd3ffa9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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