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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4884

Atlante U21 VS Monterrey U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.11%
Draw
33.23%
Away
45.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9413
Log loss
1.5554

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:07 UTC
SHA-256
04af98a79f857d9402fbcf33610517cd39cf6a342d13f289fcf9ae570c7d6c0c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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