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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48441

PSTC Procopense VS AA Iguaçu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.97%
Draw
28.19%
Away
25.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7938
Log loss
1.2662

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
c174b5205d89f4e8590fae2402ca2973a3afd7f07e2081f8def35d4a03d8307c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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