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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48335

Wilrijk VS Tempo Overijse

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.40%
Draw
22.89%
Away
43.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4808
Log loss
0.8276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
e92a1f5e2bf7b69d4af86460d288832ba73ac52ea967a1456ef42a37717e6bfa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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