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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48312

Ninove VS KRC Gent

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.62%
Draw
22.69%
Away
34.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5011
Log loss
0.8528

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
b812490b0e2355f7d01766ef31ca88d5e7c4e6469de6e5cfa011f8569113b31e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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