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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48250

Semendrija 1924 VS OFK Vršac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.94%
Draw
26.26%
Away
24.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3912
Log loss
0.7147

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
1a79cf559c8f19421b394f6a602e12e97a439362517dbfb9ea77f88a332ca886

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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